Obviously, if everyone says, "Hey, come see Chavez cope with another second- or third-tier middleweight," it's more complicated to provide ticket or get individuals to look at on TV.
Rubio has a awesome ko amount.
Rubio was last seen by most banging out a discussed probability on ESPN last season.
These are reasonable enough factors -- easy to understand, legitimate in some methods, but not exactly effective if you go previous the click announcements and the HBO advertisements for the cope with.
Rubio (53-5-1, 46 KO) is a reliable killer. If you consider companies Sebastian Zbik and Chris Manfredo Jr to not be reliable, then this is a extra ordinary phase up for Chavez. But how much better is Rubio than those guys?
It's a little change at best, in my evaluation. Rubio did hit off Mark Lemieux last May in what was at time a big irritated. But since then, Lemieux's share has lowered like a mountain. The reduction to Rubio was a bad indication, and the youthful Canada followed that with an eight-month layoff that involved taking pictures instructor Russ Anber, significant eventually to a come again to the band and a choice reduction to Joachim Alcine, a former titlist who has definitely seen better times.
Lemieux is clearly a restricted killer, and Rubio and his group obviously comprehended that going into their cope with. The strategy was to delay out Lemieux and let him make use of his power looking for his regular ko. They did that, came again, and Rubio ceased a killer who still has a lot to understand, if he can understand it.
Since defeating Lemieux, Rubio has kept fast paced and tried to get himself in for a WBC headline taken. He's got that now, but he took "staying busy" to an excessive, battling a sequence of useless mismatches against Ricardo Ramallo (TKO-3), Mohammed Akrong (TKO-5), and a taken He Vanda (TKO-5).
What is Rubio's best win? His most significant benefits, the labels that leap out on his piece, all have something in common: The win isn't as excellent as it seems to be just by looking at the outcome. Lemieux is basically not the killer he was considered to be, and I don't think there's much battling with that. Frankie Randall was in the center of his depart from the experience when Rubio broken him out in 2005.
Grady Machine is a able killer, but far from first-tier. Jose Luis Zertuche was returning off of a intense ko against Kelly felix Pavlik when Rubio conducted him in 2008, and their 2010 rematch was horrible and needless by any evaluate.
His best win was probably against Enrique Ornelas in August 2008, on the Hopkins vs Pavlik card. It was plenty with, a gritty matter that saw the two toe-to-toe and neck-and-neck throughout, with Rubio taking a divided choice win. Ornelas is no top killer either; like Rubio he's a strong, sincere, hard guy who can cope with a little bit, but has never seemed in any risk of becoming a serious competition.
That win netted Rubio a taken at Pavlik, who of course horribly missing that evening in a catchweight attack to Hopkins. Pavlik took out his problems by destroying Rubio for nine units before Rubio's group lastly drawn the connect in the part between units, which came a few units too overdue for Rubio's preference, it showed up. Viewing the cope with remain, and I don't mean this to be an offend to Rubio, I genuinely believed he might separate down and cry at various details. He was completely confused emotionally.
Physically, it was even more intense. Pavlik created Rubio, a normal younger middleweight in fact, look definitely little. Chavez (44-0-1, 31 KO) is a big middleweight -- he has come in at 185 and 179 weight on the HBO unofficial machines for his last two battles and there are a lot of concerns about how lengthy he can remain at 160.
Of course, as our own Lee Payton said when I first provided the disagreement for Rubio not really being much of a obstacle, Chavez is not Kelly felix Pavlik, either.
What Chavez is is a big, strong middleweight who can take a value, has properly enhanced, and performs with one of the best instructors on the planet in Freddie Cockroach.
Chavez is never going to be an top level killer. I just don't think he's normally excellent enough for that kind of element, nor is he a Bernard Hopkins who comes in overdue and takes, rests, and your brain punching anytime of his life, regularly remaining in perfect situation.
But I just don't see how Rubio can cope with him. If Rubio is going to win this cope with, he's right when he says he needs a ko, but it's not because the knowing or officiating will be opinionated. It's because I don't think he's a excellent enough fighter to win a choice over someone who punches hand techniques as much as Chavez does. He can't delay on Chavez the way he did Lemieux, because Chavez is better than Lemieux and won't defeat himself so quickly.
Rubio has to hit Chavez out, and he probably has to do it beginning. But I'm anticipating this to end up looking a lot like the Manfredo cope with, where a lesser man just can't cope with Chavez's value amount. Chavez may not be Pavlik, but he's better than a lot of individuals think, too, and he's better than Rubio.
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